Category Archives: Current UMW in the News

Trump Trails Leading Democratic Candidates, UMW Survey Shows

Four prominent Democratic presidential candidates hold double-digit leads over President Donald Trump in hypothetical 2020 election contests in Virginia, according to a new University of Mary Washington statewide survey.

The survey, conducted Sept. 3-15 for UMW by Research America Inc., found former Vice President Joe Biden had a 55 percent to 37 percent margin over Trump among all respondents. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren had a 53 to 38 percent margin over Trump, as did Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. California Sen. Kamala Harris, the fourth Democratic candidate considered in the Virginia survey, had a 50 percent to 38 percent margin over the president.

Link to news release

UMW poll shows Trump lagging in Virginia (Daily Press)

“The latest Mary Washington survey demonstrates that Donald Trump faces an uphill battle in Virginia next year against a range of possible challengers,” said Stephen J. Farnsworth, professor of political science at the University of Mary Washington and director of its Center for Leadership and Media Studies.

Link to report

Debates set in four Fredericksburg-area General Assembly races (Free Lance-Star)

Elections such as this one, in a year with no major national or statewide offices on the ballot, typically draw less interest and a lower turnout. But there is plenty at stake Nov. 5 as Democrats hope to swing control of the legislature away from the GOP, which holds a narrow edge in both the House and Senate.

UMW Professor Stephen Farnsworth noted that while most of the news “focuses on what is happening in Washington, it’s important for us to remember that what happens in Richmond plays an important role in the way we live.”

“Either party can win,” he added, pointing out that the state has a narrow divide between party lines and a lot can happen between now and November.

Farnsworth also said there are many “contentious issues” tied to the campaigns and politics in general, including the Mountain Valley Pipeline; gun laws; controversy surrounding the governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general; and President Trump and his policies. All this adds up to what he called “a particularly interesting election.”

Link to report

Joe Walsh Launches Campaign Against Trump (CTV News Canada)

Professor Stephen Farnsworth of the University of Mary Washington in Virginia said that the former Republican congressman’s campaign for the Republican presidential nomination will likely be little threat to President Trump, who has had the support of at least 80 percent of Republicans in recent polls. But Walsh’s campaign does likely mean that the anti-Trump Republicans will be able to get some attention in primary debates — debates that Trump is unlikely to attend, Farnsworth said.

Link to report