“The big thing that matters now is negative partisanship, people hating the other side more than they feel positive about their own,” said Stephen Farnsworth, a political scientist at the University of Mary Washington.
"We will probably have a better answer by tomorrow morning. There are a significant number of votes somewhere in the range of 22,000 plus in Nevada that still need to be counted, and that is a very close race. That may create the 50th Democratic seat for the Democrat incumbent there, and the votes that have not been counted are from the Las Vegas area which is one of the more Democratic areas of the state, " said Stephen Farnsworth, professor of political science at the University of Mary Washington.
Some of that capital could come from his own GOP, said Stephen Farnsworth, a political scientist at the University of Mary Washington. “Virginia Republicans have to ask themselves: ‘What if the governor spent less time out of state and more time in the state?’” Farnsworth said. “More time in-state could have affected the 7th, less time in South Dakota would not affect that result.”
"The three competitive congressional races in Virginia more or less unfolded as people expected," said Dr. Stephen Farnsworth, a professor of political science at the University of Mary Washington. "The two Northern Virginia districts were more democratic in their design than the 2nd District in Hampton Roads, and the Republicans picked up one. It wasn't a red wave, not in Virginia, not nationally. But even an incremental change in a 50/50 country can split the balance of power."
Stephen J. Farnsworth, a political scientist at the University of Mary Washington, said that the 9th District has become increasingly Republican in recent years due to redistricting and socio-economic changes, making it increasingly difficult for a Democratic challenger to be successful.
“Congressman Griffith was a strong favorite going into this contest, and the results on Tuesday demonstrated that the smart money knew this outcome a while ago,” Farnsworth said, referring to the Republican’s significant financial advantage.
“Success in politics is often about geography, and the 6th District as redrawn for this election cycle gives the Republican nominee an immense home court advantage,” said Stephen Farnsworth, a political scientist at the University of Mary Washington. “Cline needed to stay out of trouble to be reelected – mission accomplished.”